Análisis Argos
BXMT
BXMTBarata · ojo al riesgo1 señal de riesgo
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. · Real Estate
US$ 17.25
precio al 2026-07-04
Valor justo Argos*
US$ 29–32
vs. su valor justo
46% por debajo
Score Argos
54/100
Barata · ojo al riesgo
LA RESPUESTA
El mercado la precia para que se encoja 15.1% al año — menos de lo que viene demostrando (2.4%). Un negocio de calidad castigado por expectativas pesimistas: por eso está entre las llamadas de Argos. Ojo: tiene señales de riesgo en sus números — es barata con asterisco.
Recompensas
Cotiza por debajo de su valor justo: el mercado le pide menos crecimiento del que viene demostrando.
Reparte dividendo sostenible (10.9%).
Riesgos
!Balance frágil: la deuda pesa sobre el negocio.
!Altman Z'' en zona roja (-2.9)
VALOR4/6FUTURO0/6PASADO3/6SALUD1/6DIVIDENDO6/6
El Iris de calidad
VALOR4/6FUTURO0/6PASADO3/6SALUD1/6DIVIDENDO6/6
ValorCotiza por debajo de su valor justo
FuturoIngresos estancados o cayendo
PasadoHistorial aceptable
SaludBalance frágil
DividendoDevuelve capital al accionista
Score Argos54de 100Barata · ojo al riesgo
Ingresos14%
US$ 1.5 B
Margen operativo16%
71.6%
Flujo de caja libre24%
US$ 0.3 B
Deuda neta
US$ 15.7 B
Lo esencial, sin ruido
Cap. de mercadoUS$ 2.9B
P/E26.6x
EV/EBITDA16.1x
FCF yield9.5%
ROIC5.5%
Margen operativo71.6%
Crecim. ingresos-14.0%/año
Piotroski F7/9
Competidores

Los rivales, con el mismo ojo

El Iris de calidad de cada competidor, lado a lado. Tocá uno para ver su análisis.

Novedades

Noticias recientes

businesswire.com · 15 jun
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Declares $0.47 Per Share Dividend
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NYSE: BXMT) declared a dividend of $0.47 per share of class A common stock with respect to the second quarter of 2026. This dividend is payable on July 15, 2026, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on June 30, 2026. About Blackstone Mortgage Trust Blackstone Mortgage Trust (NYSE: BXMT) is a real estate finance company that originates, acquires and manages senior loans and other debt or credit-oriented investments coll.
seekingalpha.com · 18 may
Blackstone Mortgage Trust: 2026 Could Be A Rebound Year
Blackstone Mortgage Trust fully supported its dividend with distributable earnings in Q1'26 when adjusted for loan losses. BXMT's strategic pivot away from office loans and into industrial and multi-family markets has narrowed its discount to book value to 11%. The 2024 dividend reset and portfolio restructuring have led to 17% per-share year-over-year growth in distributable earnings and improved balance sheet quality.
seekingalpha.com · 14 may
Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Back At The Bottom Of The Range, But Something Has Changed (Rating Downgrade)
With $46M in charge-offs this quarter, CECL reserves are no longer just "paper losses"—they are crystallized hits to Blackstone Mortgage Trust's capital, proving that lent money is officially not coming back. Earnings of $0.21 per share significantly trail the $0.47 dividend. While the company highlights "distributable earnings," the persistent need for massive credit reserves suggests the current payout is increasingly fragile. Blackstone Mortgage Trust now holds over $1.15 billion in foreclosed real estate. Far from being a "hidden value" play, these assets are currently a "negative carry."
seekingalpha.com · 14 may
Earnings High Fliers And Busts
More than 1,500 stocks have reported earnings since the current season began in mid-April, and the average stock that has reported has seen an average absolute one-day share price reaction of roughly 7%. The last time we saw earnings vol spike was during the Financial Crisis bear market, when stocks were tanking. This time around, we're seeing earnings vol increase during a strong AI-driven bull market. Tech stocks are seeing record earnings day volatility as investors and traders presumably make snap judgements about AI's future impact on the bottom line.
247wallst.com · 6 may
REM's Mortgage REIT Portfolio Rallies 19% as Fed Easing Lifts Income Safety
The iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) gives income investors exposure to roughly two dozen mortgage REITs in a single ticker, smoothing out the cuts and surprises that routinely hit individual mREITs.
seekingalpha.com · 6 may
Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Dividend Coverage Has Slipped, 9.9% Yield
Blackstone Mortgage Trust maintains a near 10% dividend yield, fully covered by distributable earnings prior to realized gains and losses. BXMT's first quarter net revenue rose 25.6% to $159.42 million, driven by increased real estate owned (REO) activity after foreclosures. The mREIT is trading at a 6.3% discount to its first-quarter book value per share, with dividend coverage slipping and book value also on a sustained dip.
businesswire.com · 5 may
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Announces Pricing of Offering of Senior Secured Notes
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NYSE: BXMT) (the “Company” or “BXMT”) announced the pricing of a private offering of $450 million in aggregate principal amount of its 6.250% senior secured notes due 2031 (the “Notes”). The Company intends to use the net proceeds of the Notes offering for general corporate purposes, including paying down existing secured indebtedness. The Notes offering is expected to close on May 19, 2026 and is subject to customary closing condition.
businesswire.com · 5 may
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Announces Offering of Senior Secured Notes
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NYSE: BXMT) (the “Company” or “BXMT”) today announced it has commenced a private offering of $450 million in aggregate principal amount of its senior secured notes due 2031 (the “Notes”). The Company intends to use the net proceeds of the Notes offering for general corporate purposes, including paying down existing secured indebtedness. The offering of the Notes and the related guarantees will be made in a private transaction in relian.

* Valor justo Argos: estimación educativa del valor intrínseco según el propio flujo de caja de la empresa y su capacidad de crecimiento — no un precio objetivo ni una recomendación. Esto es información y educación, no asesoría de inversión. Rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.